Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-09-29 0.000104 0.000117 0.000130 0.000145 0.000162 0.000181 0.000202
2024-10-06 0.000087 0.000104 0.000123 0.000146 0.000174 0.000205 0.000245
2024-10-13 0.000074 0.000093 0.000116 0.000145 0.000182 0.000226 0.000284
2024-10-20 0.000064 0.000085 0.000111 0.000146 0.000191 0.000249 0.000329
2024-10-27 0.000057 0.000078 0.000107 0.000147 0.000201 0.000273 0.000376
2024-11-03 0.000050 0.000072 0.000101 0.000144 0.000206 0.000291 0.000417
2024-11-10 0.000046 0.000068 0.000099 0.000147 0.000218 0.000318 0.000472
2024-11-17 0.000041 0.000063 0.000095 0.000146 0.000223 0.000337 0.000518
2024-11-24 0.000037 0.000059 0.000093 0.000146 0.000231 0.000359 0.000569
2024-12-01 0.000034 0.000055 0.000089 0.000145 0.000235 0.000377 0.000614
2024-12-08 0.000031 0.000052 0.000086 0.000144 0.000240 0.000394 0.000661
2024-12-15 0.000028 0.000049 0.000083 0.000143 0.000246 0.000414 0.000713
2024-12-22 0.000026 0.000047 0.000081 0.000144 0.000253 0.000438 0.000776
2024-12-29 0.000024 0.000044 0.000079 0.000144 0.000261 0.000463 0.000842
2025-01-05 0.000022 0.000042 0.000077 0.000143 0.000265 0.000483 0.000901
2025-01-12 0.000021 0.000040 0.000075 0.000143 0.000273 0.000509 0.000973
2025-01-19 0.000019 0.000038 0.000074 0.000144 0.000281 0.000537 0.001053
2025-01-26 0.000018 0.000036 0.000071 0.000142 0.000284 0.000554 0.001111
2025-02-02 0.000017 0.000035 0.000071 0.000145 0.000296 0.000590 0.001211
2025-02-09 0.000016 0.000033 0.000068 0.000143 0.000300 0.000611 0.001282
2025-02-16 0.000015 0.000032 0.000067 0.000144 0.000307 0.000639 0.001369
2025-02-23 0.000014 0.000030 0.000065 0.000142 0.000310 0.000658 0.001440
2025-03-02 0.000013 0.000029 0.000063 0.000141 0.000313 0.000679 0.001515